All Reports
2Q 2020

Market Data: Automated Driving Technologies

Sensor and Compute Platform: Global Market Forecasts

The development of highly automated driving (AD) systems has proven to be a bigger challenge than expected, and highly automated vehicles (HAVs) are not expected to be deployed at scale in the millions of units until well into the second half of the 2020s. However, there is an increasing push to add more capable advanced driver assist systems (ADAS) and expand availability of partially automated systems to conventional vehicles in the next few years.

Much of the core sensing technology and compute platforms initially developed for HAVs are being adapted to ADAS, providing a market for component suppliers to begin to recoup some of the investment made for HAVs and enabling safer vehicles. ADAS enhanced with sensors such as imaging radar, thermal imaging, and short-range lidar can provide more capable automatic emergency braking and crash avoidance. The integration of compute platforms initially developed for AD into new electrical architectures can also enable functions such as over-the-air updates. In the wake of the coronavirus pandemic, deliveries are also expected to be a growing sector of the economy as social distancing persists for an indeterminate period. Automated delivery bots will require many of these same technologies. Leveraging the underlying technologies for AD across the conventional vehicle fleet and new delivery vehicles will likely enable an earlier return on the massive investment already made in AD. As AD matures, the volumes of sensors required will continue to grow.

This Guidehouse Insights report examines the market for the main sensing technologies and compute platforms and provides global and regional market forecasts of sales at various levels of automation through 2030. Data is provided for LDVs and delivery bots used for consumer sales and commercial vehicles for cargo/goods delivery or passengers.
Pages 36
Tables | Charts | Figures 74
  • How big is the market for perception systems for driver assist and automated vehicles?
  • What types of sensors are expected to be used at each level of assist or automation and how many are required?
  • How much redundancy will be required and which components will require redundancy at each automation level?
  • Which sensor types are expected to be used at each assist or automation level?
  • How much compute platform performance is required at each assist or automation level?
  • Vehicle manufacturers
  • Automotive industry suppliers
  • Insurance companies
  • Commercial fleet managers
  • Taxi operators
  • Mobility service providers
  • City managers
  • Government agencies
  • Car sharing companies
  • Ride-hailing companies
  • Transit providers
  • Vehicle service providers
  • Investor community

1. Executive Summary

1.1   Market Overview

1.2   Scope

1.3   Market Forecast

2. Market Issues

2.1   Automated Vehicle Adoption

2.1.1   Lower Level Automation and Advanced Driver Assist Systems

2.1.2   Delivery Bots

2.1.3   Technology Issues

2.1.3.1   Networking

2.1.3.2   Technology Maturity

2.1.3.2.1   Cameras

2.1.3.2.2   Radar

2.1.3.2.3   Lidar

2.1.3.2.4   Thermal Imaging

2.1.3.3   Power Consumption

3. Data Assumptions

3.1   Overall Forecast Modelling

3.2   Sensing

3.3   Compute Platforms

4. Market Forecasts

4.1   Introduction

4.1.1   Light Duty AD Vehicle Forecast

4.1.2   Delivery Bots

4.2 Sensing

4.2.1   Cameras

4.2.2   Radar

4.2.3   Lidar

4.2.4   Thermal Imaging

4.3   Compute Platforms

4.3.1   Low Performance Compute Platforms

4.3.2   Medium Performance Compute Platforms

4.3.3   High Performance Compute Platforms

4.4   Conclusions and Recommendations

5. Acronym and Abbreviation List

6. Table of Contents

7. Table of Charts and Figures

8. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

  • Annual Volumes by Sensor Type, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Global LDV Sales Forecast: 2005-2030*
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual LD AD Vehicle Deployments by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Volumes by Sensor Type, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Camera Volumes by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Short-Range Radar Volumes by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Medium/Long-Range Radar Volumes by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Imaging Radar by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Short-Range Lidar by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Long-Range Lidar by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Thermal Imaging by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Low Performance Compute Platforms by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Medium Performance Compute Platforms by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • High Performance Compute Platforms by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual LDV Unit Sales by Region After COVID-19 Impact, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 3 LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 2 LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 1 LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Low Performance Compute Platforms by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Medium Performance Compute Platforms by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • High Performance Compute Platforms by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Refraction AI Delivery Bot Testing in Ann Arbor, Michigan
  • NVIDIA Drive AGX Orin Processor Family
  • Xpeng Motors P7 XPILOT 3.0

 

  • Annual LDV Unit Sales by Region After COVID-19 Impact, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 3 LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 2 LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 1 LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Deployments by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 1 Camera Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 1 Short-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 1 Medium/Long-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 1 Imaging Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030*
  • Annual Level 1 Short-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 1 Long-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030*
  • Annual Level 1 Thermal Imaging Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 2 Camera Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 2 Short-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 2 Medium/Long-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 2 Imaging Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 2 Short-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 2 Long-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030*
  • Annual Level 2 Thermal Imaging Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 3 Camera Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 3 Short-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 3 Medium/Long-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 3 Imaging Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 3 Short-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 3 Long-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 3 Thermal Imaging Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 4 Camera Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 4 Short-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 4 Medium/Long-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 4 Imaging Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 4 Short-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 4 Long-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Level 4 Thermal Imaging Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Camera Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Short-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Medium/Long-Range Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Imaging Radar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Short-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Long-Range Lidar Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Delivery Bot Thermal Imaging Volumes by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Volumes by Sensor Type, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Low Performance Compute Platforms by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Medium Performance Compute Platforms by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • High Performance Compute Platforms by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Low Performance Compute Platforms by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Medium Performance Compute Platforms by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • High Performance Compute Platforms by Level, World Markets: 2020-2030
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